Portland – La.Lakerse / Lakerse over 93,0 @1,90

Lakerse are underestimated here due to bad start of season. It is fact that they lost a lot this year. First they lost S.Brown and Odom , than Gasol was demoralised by the stories of him being trade material for Paul , and later for Howard. Bryant wasnt also satsfied with that situation , and while this all was happening he started to divorce procedure against his wife. Fisher is worse than last year , but there are also some plus points like Blake who got better on the PG position and as it seems he should start instead of Fisher in the startiong lineup. They got Barnes who is an average player more a back up player , but Artest was moved to the bench so the Lakerse rotation in the absence of Odom and Brown want lose much quality. Mcroberts was a great signing but as it seems he aint gonna play due to injury , but still nothing decided. Bryant will play under injections due to his wrist , but this is more-less same situation whole season. So much minus points for Lakerse you wonder why to play this ?? Only because of Bynum . After dealing with his suspension he is showing that he is maybe the best center in the league after Howard , he is averaging 23ppg and 17reb in 3 games , and has his first 20+20 ( ppg+reb ) match against the Houston Rockets. Gasols motivation is unknown for me , but he seems like a smart guy , and in the paint this is a fantastic duo Gasol + Bynum , gasol has shoulder problems but his apperance tonight is sure. And than you add form the outside line Bryant and that preaty much is a great offensive force . Fisher , Blake , Artest and Barnes all of them can score from 3 point line. With the absence of Mcroberts i expekt Bynum and Gasol playing a lot. They have surely an advantage against Blazers PF and C ***8211; Wallace and Aldridge in matter of height and physic , but the Blazers duo is quicker. The closest to the Blazers roster is the Nuggets roster , a couple of even players playing very homogenic and quick without any major star . As the bench by the Lakerse is the major problem , also the situation by the Blazers isnt any better. With J.Crawford and N.Batum they have 2 great subs , but thats it , on K.Thomas and C.Smith as subs for forward positions , they dont have a real sub for Camby who isnt the healthyest , playing in average around 18-25 minutes so i see some time Aldridge on the center , and his physic and Bynums isnt fair to compare.
I see Lakerse going above 90 points , mostly due to the Bynum factor and the strenght in the paint . Portland eventualy must decide on who to focus on Bryant or Bynum+gasol , despite them playing real slowly sometimes i think the Lakerse will crack the 90 points line from where the 93 and 94 line isn’t far away.


College Basketball Predictions

CBB Sides – College Basketball Predictions

double-dime bet 792 TCU -1.0 (-110) vs 791 Rice

Results: W, $200

Analysis: This is just a bad spot for Rice. A couple of road games over the New Year’s holiday and a humiliation by Texas, but most importantly they have to be looking to Saturday at home against Marshall. What I really dislike about Rice is their SOS, which is basically playing a bunch of really bad teams, and then getting beat soundly by anyone decent. I will chalk up their win over A & M as “one of those things” and just cannot see them winning this game on the road. They’re not a good shooting team and play a much slower pace than what TCU is going to want to do, and TCU has the experience edge, as well as a deeper bench, and they get to the line fairly regularly. TCU has Senior leadership with Hank Thorns at PG, while Rice has four Freshman playing significant minutes. No choice, especially given that it would be way too easy to take Rice! Oh, and TCU looks ahead to Texas Pan Am, so, away we go.

Pick Made: Jan 4 2012 7:02AM PST


college basketball picks

775 Texas Tech +11.5 vs 776 Oklahoma St.
Results: W, $100


Pick Made: Jan 4 2012 8:37AM PST

Posted in NCAAB COLLEGE BASKETBALL PREDICTIONS, Uncategorized | Leave a comment

college basketball picks

759 Marquette +4 vs 760 Georgetown
Results: W, $100

Analysis: I’m playing this a little smaller because G’town CAN roll these guys, but if you remember by tweets from yesterday I told you we like Marquette, and having said that I cannot not play them.

Pick Made: Jan 4 2012 7:09AM PST

Posted in NCAAB COLLEGE BASKETBALL PREDICTIONS, Uncategorized | Leave a comment

MLB PREDICTIONS OCT 12 Milwaukee Brewers @ St Louis Cardinals

MLB Baseball – Wed 10/12

Milwaukee Brewers @ St Louis Cardinals

Pick: St Louis Cardinals PK @ -148

Y. Gallardo & C. Carpenter Must Start

Analysis: Play on St. Louis at 8:05 ET. In the playoffs, you have to ride the hot arm and no one looked better than Chris Carpenter did in Game 5 of the NLDS vs. Philadelphia, shutting the Phillies out over nine innings while allowing only three hits. That was Carpenter’s 2nd complete game shutout his L3 starts and third in his L7 seven starts overall. Note that he also went eight innings against the Phillies on 9.18 and allowed no runs. While Carpenter is ‘in the red’ overall here at home this season, note that he has a perfect 9-0 TSR at Busch when the money line is -100 to -150. He has pitched against Milwaukee four times this season, going 0-2 on the road and 2-0 at home. That is pretty much ‘par for the course’ for the Brewers overall performance this season. While they have the best home record in MLB, they have lost money overall on the road (-$710) going 39-44 w/ a pair of losses in Arizona in the LDS. Note that one of Carpenter’s three complete game shutouts over his last seven starts came here against the Brewers on 9.7. He allowed only four hits. Milwaukee’s confidence may be shaken with such a bad loss in Game 2 – at home no less. Note that the Brew Crew is 1-9 the last three seasons when playing w/ revenge for a home loss by 8 runs or more. They are 6-17 since the start of last season revenging a loss where the opponent scored 10 or more runs. Brewers starter Yovani Gallardo has looked sharp in recent starts, but he has consistently struggled against the Cards w/ a 2-9 career TSR, including three straight losses this season. He’s allowed 15 runs total in just under 16 IP and w/ the St. Louis offense hot, particularly Albert Pujols, we look for more of the same Wednesday. St. Louis is our MLB Oddsmaker Mismatch. 

Pick Cardinals.  

Made: Oct 12 2011 6:28AM PST

Posted in MLB MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL PREDICTIONS, Uncategorized | 1 Comment

MLB Baseball Picks – Tue 10/11, 2011

MLB Baseball – Tue 10/11

Texas Rangers @ Detroit Tigers
Selection: Detroit Tigers -136
C Lewis & D Fister Must Start
Double Dime

Analysis: My 8* Las Vegas Insider is on the Det Tigers at 8:05 ET.

The Rangers won 14 of 16 games to end the regular season and the team needed each and every one of those victories, as Texas finished with 96 wins, one more than Detroit’s 95. That one-game edge gave Texas the No. 2 seed in the AL (faced the Rays at home, rather than the Yanks on the road in the ALDS) and now the home field advantage in the ALCS vs the Tigers. The Rangers bested Justin Verlander and the rain delays in Game 1 (3-2) and then Nelson Cruz, four innings after he had tied Game 2 with a solo HR, hit the first walk-off grand slam in postseason history in the 11th to give Texas a 7-3 victory. Because of Sunday’s rain out, the teams will have no travel day and Game 3 is set for tonight in Detroit. The Rangers have the 2-0 lead in the series and will send Colby Lewis to the mound. Lewis has quite a story to tell. He was the 38th overall player selected in the 1999 Major League Baseball Draft. He was a highly regarded prospect coming up in the Rangers’ system and in three seasons with them had a career ERA of 6.83. Of particular note was his 2003 season, where he managed to post a winning record of 10-9 in 26 starts despite a 7.30 ERA. From 2004-07 he bounced from Detroit, to Washington, to Oakland and Kansas City, accomplishing little. He then went to Japan for the 2008 and ’09 seasons and his surprising success got him another shot with the Rangers. He opened last season 3-0 with a 2.76 ERA in five April starts (team was 4-1), striking out 38 in 32.2 innings. However, he would finish just 12-13 with a 3.72 ERA in 32 starts. The team was 14-18 in those starts, leaving him with an awful minus-$951 moneyline mark (only four pitchers were minus-$1,000 or worse in 2010). A funny thing then happened. Lewis became a star in the postseason, going 3-0 with a 1.71 ERA in four starts (team was 3-1). He’s been hard to figure this year, going 14-10 but with a 4.40 ERA in 32 starts (team was 17-15). Some expected him to just “re-find” his postseason ‘magic’ this year and I was skeptical. However, he “was at it again” at Tampa in Game 3 of the ALDS, going six innings with six Ks and just one hit allowed (a solo HR). The Rangers would win that game 4-3 (Lewis is now 4-0 with a 1.67 ERA in five postseason starts) and capture the series with another 4-3 win in Game 4. The fact is, the Rangers lost Game 1 to the Rays but have since won FIVE straight postseason games. Add that to the team’s 14-2 finish to the regular season and one could say, the Rangers are “in the zone.” However, let’s not be too quick to dismiss the Tigers, who won 20 of their final 25 regular season games and then beat the Yankees in a deciding Game 5 at Yankee Stadium in the ALDS. Doug Fister was the starter in that game, going five innings and allowing one ER. That was quite an improvement on his first postseason effort, when he allowed seven hits and six ERs in 4.2 innings of the completed Game 1 of that series (the one suspended in the 2nd inning which had begun with Verlander and CC). Most know what Fister has done for the Tigers this year but I’ll repeat it for those who don’t. He was acquired from Seattle at the trade deadline and while he may have been 3-12 with Seattle, the Tigers looked ‘deeper.’ He owned a 3.33 ERA plus suffered from having the poorest run support of any AL pitcher (1.97 RPG) at the time of the trade. Detroit “saw that something” and was right. Fister would make 11 regular season appearances for the Tigers (10 starts), going 8-1 with a 1.79 in those starts, as the team went 8-2. The team lost two of his first three starts with his third outing, an 8-5 loss at Baltimore, being BRUTAL (5.2 IP / 12 hits / 8 runs, 6 earned). However, he would go 6-0 (team was 7-0) over his last seven starts, allowing only four ERs in 52.2 innings (0.68 ERA). Let me also note that he made five home starts while with the Tigers, going 4-0 (team was 5-0), posting an 0.98 ERA with a 27-3 KW ratio. The Tigers left 13 runners on base in Game 2 and are 2-for-19 with RISP in the series. If those numbers don’t improve, Detroit is ‘dead.’ Here’s betting they DO NOT. I’m backing Fister.

Good luck…John

Pick Made: Oct 11 2011 5:36AM PST



NFL Football – Mon 10/10

Detroit Lions -5.5 -111 vs Chicago Bears – Single Dime
Chicago at Detroit
This is an extremely important game for the 2-2 Bears because they are way behind Detroit and Green Bay in the division. Which is why this line is at a reasonable number because Detroit is clearly the more talented team. Chicago has played 3 of 4 games at home and in their only road contest they were torched 30-13 at New Orleans. This is a team that has permitted 29, 27 and 30 points the past three weeks and doesn’t possess an offense capable of trading scores. The offensive line has had major problems keeping Jay Cutler upright and now they face one of the most talented front sevens in the NFL.
Detroit has a score to settle here as Chicago has beaten them six straight times. But this isn’t your father’s Lions team. This is a squad that has proven that they can score on anybody and possesses a defense that has all the parts to build on. Detroit has scored 27, 48, 26 and 34 points thus far, but they have yet to do so against a defense with a name like the Bears. That’s plenty of motivation for Detroit in addition to keeping up with the Packers. This team has found a way to win close games in three of four weeks, and they believe in their quarterback. The same thing cannot be said of Chicago.
It’s payback time in Detroit tonight and with the line less than a touchdown the Lions are the clear fundamental play.

Pick Made: Oct 10 2011 6:48AM PST

Results: WON

MLB Baseball – Mon 10/10

Texas Rangers -1.5 +147 vs Detroit Tigers – Single Dime

Rain seems to be plaguing the Tigers this postseason. When it follows you to Texas, where the Rangers have just endured one of the hottest and driest summers in North Texas history (27 games were played when the temperature was 100 degrees or more at first pitch), a team could start to take it personally! Game 1 of the ALDS with the Yankees was suspended in the second inning and it cost Detroit being able to use Justin Verlander twice in that series. Detroit did survive though (a special thanks is due both A-Rod and Teixeira) but again, the ALCS opener was twice delayed by rain (Verlander is starting to wonder if it’s him!) and Game 2 was postponed Sunday night because of the expectation of more wet weather and rescheduled for this afternoon. Texas won 3-2 in Game 1, as CJ Wilson survived six hits and five walks in just 4.2 innings to allow only two runs. Then, the Texas bullpen (five different pitchers) allowed just one hit and struck out eight over 4.1 innings after play resumed from two delays (totaling 110 minutes), to preserve the win. Getting the start this afternoon will be Detroit’s Max Scherzer and Texas’ Derek Holland. Scherzer was an awful road pitcher this year, posting a 5.44 ERA away from Comerica Park.

However, he was excellent in Game 2 at Yankees Stadium (6 IP / 2 hits / 0 runs), as the Tiger won 5-3 to even the series. He also pitched 1.1 innings (two hits and one run) in the deciding Game 5, which Detroit won 3-2. The rain gives him an extra day of rest and he’ll likely need it, facing a Texas team which is 54-30 at home this year (including the postseason), while averaging a very healthy 6.06 RPG. Holland’s had an excellent year for Texas, going 16-5 with a 3.95 ERA in 32 starts (team was 19-13). He’s 9-2 here in Arlington in 16 home starts (including one in the postseason), with the Rangers going 11-5. He gets a break as well, with Delvin Young questionable at best and Magglio Ordonez out of the Detroit lineup in Game 2. Texas takes a 2-0 lead in the ALCS, right here.

Good luck…John

Pick Made: Oct 10 2011 8:09AM PST
Results: WON


MIA Heat @ CHI Bulls
Selection: MIA Heat + 2 Spread -110 / 1.90
Single Dime Bet

James and co. are well aware that the Bulls rely too much on Rose and I expect them to aggressively attack & defense him and try to exploit that situation.

The Bulls will fight hard at home court. They have a deeper bench and big home crowd and there’s an interior presence, but it’s not the traditional inside/outside game that would give a team such as Miami problems. This is a Eastern Final Series, though, that is reduced to Rose versus James and Wade, one on two, not exactly a scenario that favors the Bulls.

Chicago got tested by a pesky Indiana team, got pushed by an athletic Atlanta team, but now comes the Bulls’ biggest test in trying to contain Dwyane Wade and LeBron James. The Bulls will have to work extra hard to stop Wade and James, and lurking in the background is Chris Bosh, who made a huge breakthrough in the Boston series.

When the Bulls played Miami during the regular season, a three-game series Chicago would sweep, there were issues with the Heat, hurdles that could not be overcome at that precise moment. No longer is Miami imploding in a late-game situation, no longer are people questioning James’ ability to win a game. 

The Heats’ super starts know how important Game 1 is for the team’s momentum after they lost 3 games to Bulls in the regular season. Game 1 is their best chance to get momentum and to really take control of the series and I expect them to bounce back against the Bulls.

Free Pick:
BOS Red Sox @ NY Yankees
Selection: NY Yankees PK +110 / 2.10
J Lester & F Garcia Must Start

The Red Sox won last 2 games both as underdogs at Bronx. I expect the Yankees to bounce back in game 3 & I feel the value lies with the home team here.

Red Sox at Bronx at this price?? That smells like a trap to me. It must also be pointed out that Garcia who had some nice starts in his previous starts against the Red Sox. I believe Yankee is a Live Dog here. I also think Garcia & Lester are heading into different direction…



PHI Phillies @ ATL Braves
Selection: ATL Braves PK -164 / 1.60
J Blanton & J Jurrjens Must Start

Last time out, Jurrjens outpitched C Hamels and limited the Phillies to 1 ERA through 6.5 innings. The Braves won 5-2 on the road. Jurrjens’ last 5 starts against Phillies have only allowed 8 ERA in 33.5 innings. Note Jurrjens pitches much better in home than on road.

While the bullpen didn’t get it done last night, the Braves’ relievers have been very solid this season. Indeed, they entered last night’s game with a combined 2.86 ERA and 1.15 WHIP.
Even with Heyward expected to miss another game, the Braves also still have arguably the better offense. Except McLouth and Uggla, the rest line up hit Blanton > 0.286.

Braves should win this game.


Free Pick:
NY Mets  @ HOU Astros
Selection: Total OVER 7.5
R Dickey & J Happ Must Start





MEM Grizzlies – 2 ( Spread ) vs. OKC Thunder

Public is all over Oklahoma City because they were smashed game 5 but fact is this just gives Memphis momentum because they didn’t play their best game and last home game for the season. This series is going to be a long one.I anticipate the Grizzlies completely shutting down the Thunder offense while getting aided and abetted by favorable referee calls in front of the Memphis faithful. Grizzlies can dominate the paint at home and what they need is to limit 3 point shooters from the Thunders.

RESULTS: W, MEM Grizzlies 95:83 OKC Thunders


PIT Pirates @ MIL Brewers

Pick: MIL Brewers PK -163 / 1.61

J McDonald & Y Gallardo Must Start

RESULTS: W, MIL Brewers 5: 2 PIT Pirates


BOS Red Sox @ NY Yankee

Pick: BOS Red Sox PK +104 / 2.04

C Buchholz & B Colon Must Start

RESULTS: W, BOS Red Sox 5:4 NY Yankees

Tonight I like Red Sox as I see them getting to Yankee starter Colon. Yes he has pitched very well in his 3 starts but, when he faced a very good rangers line up, he looked slow and lack of choice. He gave up 9 hits, 5 runs in 4.1 innings of work. Today this Red Sox line up is even better than Rangers and it will be best line up he has faced this season. A Gonzalez is hot and he will give Colon hard time for sure. I also like the start Buchholz had in his last game as he went a strong 5 innings giving up just 2 hits and 0 earned runs. Look for another strong effort from him. I also like the betting pattern that I am seeing in this game. Even though the public is on the Yankees the line has swung to the Red Sox side indicating that some very sharp money has shown up on Red Sox as will my money.

Free Pick

ARI Diamondbacks @ LA Dodgers

Pick: LA Dodgers PK -182 / 1.54

J Saunders & C Kershaw Must Start

RESULTS: W, LA Dodgers 4:3 ARI Diamondbacks